Presidential Polls 2024 Simulation

Presidential Polls 2024 Simulation. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Select the run simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election.


Presidential Polls 2024 Simulation

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. So here is how our model translates polls and the other inputs it uses into probabilities in the electoral college and the popular vote in every state — plus some nightmare scenarios like a repeat of the 2000 florida recount.

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